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Met Office Weather Birmingham – Forecast, Warnings & Hourly

Thomas Morgan Carter • 2026-05-24 • Reviewed by Oliver Bennett






Met Office Weather Birmingham – 7-Day, 14-Day, Hourly & Warnings


Planning your week in Birmingham means keeping an eye on the sky. The Met Office, as the UK’s official national weather service, provides the most authoritative local forecast for the city, covering everything from hourly temperatures to severe weather warnings. BBC Weather also offers a popular, easy-to-read alternative with a longer forecast horizon. This article brings together the key data from both sources so you can make informed decisions, whether you are heading out tomorrow or planning a weekend event.

Currently, Birmingham is experiencing a settled spell. The Met Office reports sunny intervals with the temperature reaching 25°C, feeling like 22°C with a moderate south-westerly breeze. Rain probability sits at around 20%, and the UV index is high, so sun protection is advisable during peak hours.

Both the Met Office and BBC Weather agree that the short-term outlook is dry and warm, with the coming days bringing progressively higher temperatures before a possible change later in the week.

What is the weather in Birmingham tomorrow?

Tomorrow is expected to be warmer than today, with clear skies and plenty of sunshine throughout the day. According to the Met Office Birmingham forecast, the high will reach 27°C and the low will drop to 18°C. Rain probability is very low at around 5%, making it an excellent day for outdoor plans.

Today’s High / Low

25°C / 16°C

Source: Met Office hourly

Chance of Rain

10% today, 80% Thursday

Source: Met Office

Wind Speed

12 mph SW

Source: Met Office

Active Warnings

None currently

Source: Met Office warnings

Here are the key insights for the days ahead based on Met Office and BBC Weather data:

  • Birmingham is forecast to have a dry, warm week with temperatures reaching 32°C on Monday.
  • No severe weather warnings are currently active for Birmingham, but conditions should be checked before heading out.
  • BBC Weather and Met Office forecasts show high agreement for the next 3 days, but diverge slightly after day 5.
  • The warmest day of the upcoming 7-day period appears to be Monday, with a high of 32°C.
  • Both sources are considered reliable for today and tomorrow, with the Met Office holding the edge for official warnings.
Metric Today Tomorrow 7-Day Range
High Temperature 25°C 27°C 22°C – 32°C
Low Temperature 16°C 18°C 12°C – 20°C
Rain Probability 10% 5% 0% – 20%
Sunrise / Sunset 05:15 / 21:30 05:14 / 21:31 Varies
UV Index 6 (High) 7 (High) 5–8

7-day weather forecast for Birmingham from the Met Office

The Met Office provides a detailed 7-day outlook for Birmingham, updated multiple times daily. The current run shows a warm and largely dry week dominated by high pressure. Temperatures climb steadily from today’s 25°C to a peak of 32°C on Monday before easing back midweek.

What does the 7-day forecast look day by day?

Each day from today through Thursday is expected to bring sunny or partly cloudy conditions. The weekend looks especially favourable, with Saturday and Sunday both forecast to reach 27°C under clear skies. Monday stands out as the hottest day at 32°C. By Wednesday, cloud increases and a chance of light rain appears, with highs dropping to 24°C. Thursday may bring more substantial showers and a high of 22°C.

What is the BBC Weather forecast for Birmingham over the next 7 days?

BBC Weather largely mirrors the Met Office for the 7-day period, given that it uses Met Office data as its foundation. The presentation is more visual and streamlined, with hourly breakdowns available. For this week, BBC Weather also shows a dry weekend and a hot Monday, though minor rounding differences of 1–2°C may appear in the displayed figures.

Reliability note

For the first 3 days, forecast confidence is high from both sources — above 90% for temperature trends. Between days 4 and 7, confidence remains good for general patterns but decreases for precise precipitation timing. Checking the Met Office update each morning is recommended for the most current view.

What will the weather be like in Birmingham this weekend?

The weekend looks set to be dry and very warm. Saturday and Sunday both see highs of 27°C with plenty of sunshine and light winds. Overnight lows will be around 18°C. No rain is expected, and UV levels will be high, so sun protection is advised if you plan to be outside for extended periods.

14-day weather forecast for Birmingham

For those planning further ahead, BBC Weather offers an hourly forecast up to 14 days for Birmingham. The Met Office primarily focuses on the 7-day horizon, making BBC Weather the go-to for extended outlooks. However, accuracy drops significantly beyond the first week.

Is the 14-day forecast from the Met Office reliable?

The Met Office does not provide a dedicated 14-day forecast for Birmingham on its city-level pages. For extended range information, BBC Weather is the more practical source. It is important to treat any forecast beyond 7 days as indicative. The BBC app itself notes that accuracy becomes more hit and miss 3+ days out, and this applies even more strongly to the 14-day view.

What is the 14-day temperature trend for Birmingham?

Based on current BBC Weather data, the trend suggests a warm start to the period followed by a gradual cooling toward more seasonal averages after the first week. Specific daily temperatures beyond day 7 should be considered broad guidance rather than precise predictions.

Accuracy drop after day 7

Forecast confidence for Birmingham drops markedly after the 7-day mark. While BBC Weather provides hourly data out to 14 days, using this information for firm decisions — such as event planning — carries risk. Re-check the forecast 2–3 days before your planned activity for a more reliable picture.

Hourly weather forecast for Birmingham today

The Met Office provides a granular hourly breakdown for Birmingham, showing temperature, rain probability, wind speed and direction, visibility, humidity, and UV levels for each hour of the day. This is particularly useful for timing outdoor activities.

What is the expected temperature in Birmingham at noon?

Today’s hourly data from the Met Office shows temperatures rising through the morning, reaching around 25°C in the late afternoon. At midday, the temperature is expected to be in the low 20s, with sunny intervals and a 10% chance of rain. Wind speeds remain moderate at around 12 mph from the southwest.

When is the best time to go outside today in Birmingham?

The late afternoon, around 3–5 pm, offers the warmest conditions at 25°C with the lowest rain probability. Early morning and late evening are cooler, with overnight lows dropping to 16°C. The UV index peaks at 6 (high) around midday, so protection is recommended if you are out during that window.

Are there any weather warnings for Birmingham?

Currently, no severe weather warnings are in effect for Birmingham. The Met Office warnings page, which is the official UK source for alerts relating to rain, wind, snow, ice, fog, thunderstorms, and extreme heat, shows a clear status for the city and the wider West Midlands region.

What are the current Met Office weather warnings for the West Midlands?

The West Midlands regional forecast from the Met Office confirms the same picture: settled conditions with no active warnings. This is consistent with the high-pressure system currently dominating the region.

How do I receive weather alerts for Birmingham?

The most reliable way to receive warnings is through the Met Office UK weather warnings page, which lists all current alerts by region. BBC Weather also displays warnings when they are active, though the Met Office remains the originating authority for all official UK weather alerts.

Checking warnings before travel

Even when no warnings are active, conditions can change rapidly. For Birmingham, the Met Office updates its warnings page as soon as a risk is identified. Making a quick check part of your morning routine — especially before long journeys or outdoor events — is a simple habit that can help you stay safe.

Met Office vs BBC Weather for Birmingham: which is more accurate?

Both services are reliable, but they serve different needs. The Met Office is the official UK national weather service and the source of the underlying data that BBC Weather uses. For Birmingham, the Met Office provides the most authoritative local forecast, including official warnings and detailed hourly data.

Why does the BBC weather forecast sometimes differ from the Met Office?

BBC Weather applies its own interpretation and rounding to the raw data it receives from the Met Office. This can lead to minor differences of 1–2°C in displayed temperatures or slight variations in precipitation timing. The overall trends remain consistent between the two.

How often are the Met Office forecasts updated for Birmingham?

The Met Office updates its Birmingham forecast multiple times daily. Current conditions are refreshed hourly, while the 7-day forecast is typically updated every 3–6 hours. BBC Weather also updates several times a day, though the exact cadence varies.

For short-range planning — today and tomorrow — both sources are considered strong. For official warnings and the most precise local data, the Met Office official forecast for Birmingham is the recommended reference. For a quick overview or a longer 14-day horizon, BBC Weather Birmingham offers a convenient alternative.

What is the weather in Birmingham this weekend?

The weekend brings two days of dry, sunny, and very warm weather. Here is how the conditions unfold day by day:

  1. Today: Dry, sunny, warm. High 25°C.
  2. Tomorrow: Warmer, clear skies. High 27°C.
  3. Sunday: Very warm, sunny. High 27°C.
  4. Monday: Hottest day, 32°C. Sunny.
  5. Tuesday: Slightly cooler, still sunny. High 29°C.
  6. Wednesday: Cloud increasing, chance of light rain. High 24°C.
  7. Thursday: Possible showers, cooler. High 22°C.

How accurate is the Met Office forecast for Birmingham?

Accuracy varies by timeframe. The following breakdown shows what is well established and what remains less certain:

Established information Information that remains unclear
Today’s and tomorrow’s temperatures are highly reliable (confidence >90%) The 14-day forecast should be treated as indicative; accuracy decreases significantly after day 7
No weather warnings are currently expected for the next 48 hours Exact timing of potential showers on Wednesday/Thursday remains uncertain
Monday’s high of 32°C is likely but may shift by ±2°C Conditions beyond 7 days are trend guidance only

Why is Birmingham experiencing warm weather?

Birmingham’s weather is shaped by its inland location in the West Midlands. The current warm, settled conditions are the result of a high-pressure system dominating the region, combined with a southerly airflow drawing warm air up from continental Europe. This type of weather pattern is typical for late June and early July.

The Met Office West Midlands regional forecast confirms that high pressure will remain in control for several days, meaning no immediate disruption is expected. Anyone planning outdoor activities can be confident about the weekend. The 14-day outlook, however, should be monitored as it may change.

Birmingham does not experience the same moderating effects from the sea that coastal cities enjoy, so summer temperatures can climb quickly under high pressure. Nights also cool down more rapidly than in urban areas closer to the coast.

Where does the Birmingham weather data come from?

The Met Office is the UK’s official national weather service, employing meteorologists who produce forecasts using observational data from weather stations, satellites, and computer models. BBC Weather licenses this data and presents it through its own interface. Both are trusted sources, but the Met Office remains the originating authority for official UK forecasts and warnings.

“Dry this evening with some late evening sunshine. Staying dry and rather warm tonight with clear skies across the region. Minimum temperature 16 °C.”

— Met Office Birmingham forecast

“Today will be a dry and settled day with extensively sunny skies and very little in the way of cloud around.”

— BBC Weather Birmingham

“Birmingham weather warnings for rain, wind, snow, ice, fog, thunderstorm, lightning, and extreme heat.”

— Met Office warnings page

What is the key takeaway for Birmingham weather?

For Birmingham, the Met Office provides the most reliable source for official warnings, local hourly data, and short-range accuracy, especially for tomorrow. BBC Weather complements this with a user-friendly interface and hourly forecasts extending to 14 days, though precision falls off after the first few days. For the week ahead, the outlook is dry and warm, with Monday likely to be the hottest day. Checking the Met Office update each morning remains the best way to stay informed about any changes or emerging warnings. If you are planning further ahead, revisit the forecast closer to the time for a more accurate picture. For more detail on service differences, see our comparison of Met Office vs BBC Weather accuracy for Birmingham.

Frequently asked questions about Birmingham weather

How often is the Met Office forecast for Birmingham updated?

The Met Office updates its forecast multiple times daily, typically every 3-6 hours for the 7-day forecast, and hourly for the current conditions.

Why does BBC Weather show different temperatures to the Met Office?

BBC Weather uses Met Office data as a base but applies its own interpretation and rounding. Differences are usually within 1-2°C.

Can I rely on the 14-day forecast for event planning?

The 14-day forecast is best used as a trend indicator. For events more than a week away, check again a few days prior for higher accuracy.

What is the best weather website for Birmingham?

Both Met Office (official) and BBC Weather are reliable. The Met Office provides the most detailed warnings and official data.

Will it rain in Birmingham this weekend?

Based on the current forecast, no rain is expected over the weekend, but check the hourly updates as the weekend approaches.

What is the UV index expected to be in Birmingham today?

Today’s UV index is 6 (high). Protection such as sunscreen, a hat, and sunglasses is recommended during peak hours around midday.

What time does the sun set in Birmingham today?

Sunset in Birmingham today is at 21:30, providing long daylight hours into the evening.

Is the Met Office more accurate than BBC Weather for Birmingham?

For short-term forecasts and official warnings, the Met Office is the more authoritative source. BBC Weather is also reliable for today and tomorrow but accuracy declines after 3 days.

What is the wind speed forecast for Birmingham today?

Wind speeds are expected to be around 12 mph from the southwest, with maximum gusts reaching 22 mph according to the Met Office.

How can I check for weather warnings in Birmingham?

The Met Office warnings page is the official source for all UK weather alerts. BBC Weather also displays warnings when they are in effect.


Thomas Morgan Carter

About the author

Thomas Morgan Carter

Coverage is updated through the day with transparent source checks.